Case-Fatality Risk Estimates for COVID-19 Calculated by Using a Lag Time for Fatality.
Identifieur interne : 000510 ( an2020/Analysis ); précédent : 000509; suivant : 000511Case-Fatality Risk Estimates for COVID-19 Calculated by Using a Lag Time for Fatality.
Auteurs : Nick Wilson ; Amanda Kvalsvig ; Lucy Telfar Barnard ; Michael G. BakerSource :
- Emerging infectious diseases [ 1080-6059 ] ; 2020.
Abstract
We estimated the case-fatality risk for 2019 novel coronavirus disease cases in China (3.5%); China, excluding Hubei Province (0.8%); 82 countries, territories, and areas (4.2%); and on a cruise ship (0.6%). Lower estimates might be closest to the true value, but a broad range of 0.25%-3.0% probably should be considered.
DOI: 10.3201/eid2606.200320
PubMed: 32168463
Affiliations:
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